The Fellowship of the Ring: To Open or Not To Open?
Veterans Day - what’s open or closed?
Nope, this is not about which store was open or closed, go search, please ;) This is about open or closed platform strategies. But seriously, it’s very confusing, and a holiday always works better when everyone gets it. As AI is going to do all our work soon, we shouldn’t need to work that much anyway, right dear employers? There has been some interesting conversion to blog in the future.“All Of This Has Happened Before And Will Happen Again”
After 2 blogs on Apple products, I’m probably looked like A fan. Well, I’m not. It’ll be over simplification to judge only by results. Facts: Apple does have good product, strategy and execution. That does not mean it is the right way nor the best model for the whole wave cycle nor the whole market. Furthermore, one can try to beat Apple on its own game. Good luck, I’ve not seen nor expected anyone comes close anytime soon. To the fellows of “iPhone killers”, you should really stop thinking like this. The point is: a better world needs different kinds of beasts in the market. In general, there are two extremes: Open or Closed platform models. Obviously, Apple does excellent jobs via a Closed platform approach on Device Product Development specifically. Whereas, Open Platform is a better model to democratize the value chain, create competition, drive down the cost, inflect the market size, facilities innovation and etc. Which is the one I believe more. Naturally, it is more interesting for news to emphasis which one is winning or better. In practices, the market seldom care less and the market is alway better (at least for the end users) when both models are executed well. Also, There is no point to debate about which is better without the context in the real world. It is more meaningful to put them into a specific setting and do proper Situation Analysis. Don’t worries, no plan to do formal analysis. Let’s do a casual trilogy instead. Note: App Store is not in the focus of the discussion here, which is actually an Open Platform(-ish) strategy.
Story of AJAR - Slightly Open - The Dilemma of Middle Class Innovation
Forget about Open and Closed. Let’s get both - slightly open. In early 2000s, TTPCom tried to reinvent Feature Phone via developing an Application Framework on top of its proprietary RTOS, AJAR. “It was the best of times, it was the worst of times.” It was the dawn of the smartphone industry revolution.
The dilemma of middle class innovation is, well ending up in the middle. Most plans start with ambition to deliver the best of two worlds, but typically compromising their way to the worse of both worlds. In my defence, AJAR was too early and too little. It ended up as a successful failure: acquired by Motorola, but didn’t become the next big thing. To my good old TTPCom comrades, it was a honor and fun.
The dilemma of middle class innovation is, well ending up in the middle. Most plans start with ambition to deliver the best of two worlds, but typically compromising their way to the worse of both worlds. In my defence, AJAR was too early and too little. It ended up as a successful failure: acquired by Motorola, but didn’t become the next big thing. To my good old TTPCom comrades, it was a honor and fun.
Other similar examples:
- Moto Rokr E1, the 1st mobile phone with iTunes supposed to be the “BIG thing” in 2005.
- In 2012, Windows 8 intended be the “unify” OS for Personal Computer and Mobile. LaptopMag has a few good points. Especially, the 2-in-1 did not make users’ life much easier.
Lessons Learnt
- 10x: You need to have the magic, 10x improvement to change the landscape. It’s Path Dependency, Stupid. There is no easy path to get users to drop their good old QWERTY keyboard nor to start adapting Metric System (for Americans).
- Don’t focus on competition: Microsoft cared too much about catching up on mobile and forgot to serve the existing users. I’m sorry, but I’m just too old to learn new way to Start the menu.
- Context and what’s new: those examples are a bit far-fetched, one may say. Not if we look for the bigger picture and seek for fundamental patterns. If one want to learn from history, one has to dig deeper. Past failures and experience are only relevant if one can properly generalize the lessons learnt, transform and adapt to a new context. MBA 101: always do/update your situation analysis.
Don’t get me wrong, it’s possible to make such innovation a successful one. Only, it’s god damn hard. A paradigm shift is like planets lining up. It happens only once a while. And, more planets (factors to be disturbed) in line, less frequent it gets.
BTW, in case you missed the the solar eclipse on 21 Aug. this year, here are some eye candies. Fun fact: if you can wait that long, all 8 will even “align” one day.
Next chapter: The Two Towers.
Comments